Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Transportation and Warehousing Employment Growth
Across New Jersey Counties
Transportation and Warehousing
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Transportation and Warehousing
Employment Growth
New Jersey:
2010-2022 = 5.74%
2022 = 9.38%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of transportation and warehousing employment growth across all of New Jersey's 21 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this New Jersey Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the transportation and warehousing employment growth of New Jersey's 21 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Transportation and Warehousing
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Transportation and Warehousing
Employment Growth
New Jersey:
2010-2022 = 5.74%
2022 = 9.38%
This figure displays the 21 counties of New Jersey as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the transportation and warehousing employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term transportation and warehousing employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 5.74%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 5.74% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (5.74%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 6 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 10 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 6 counties whose most recent (2022) transportation and warehousing employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (9.38%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 10 counties whose transportation and warehousing employment growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 21 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 5.74% over 2010-2022 and 9.38% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (5.74%) and near-term (9.38%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (5.74%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the New Jersey average (9.38%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (5.74%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (9.38%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (5.74%) and near-term (9.38%).
   
 
Summary of New Jersey's 21 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(9.38%)
Above
(9.38%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(5.74%)
1
5
6
Below
(5.74%)
9
1
10
 
10
6
16
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
New Jersey:
2010-2022 = 5.74%
2022 = 9.38%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the New Jersey counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed New Jersey's average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 5.74%) as well as near-term (2022 = 9.38%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of New Jersey's 21 counties, 5 (24%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
New Jersey:
2010-2022 = 5.74%
2022 = 9.38%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 1 New Jersey county classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 5.74%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 9.38%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 1 (5%) of New Jersey's 21 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
New Jersey:
2010-2022 = 5.74%
2022 = 9.38%
This figure shows the distribution of the 1 New Jersey county classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 5.74%), while they outpaced New Jersey's average near-term (2022 = 9.38%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of New Jersey's 21 counties, only 5% (1) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
New Jersey:
2010-2022 = 5.74%
2022 = 9.38%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 9 New Jersey counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 5.74%) as well as near-term (2022 = 9.38%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
43% of New Jersey's counties, 9 of 21, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
New Jersey
Transportation and Warehousing Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
6
7.47
 
6
12.13
22,231
 
1
14.48
 
2
25.09
18,830
 
2
10.75
 
7
11.28
19,108
 
4
8.30
 
8
10.92
10,983
 
3
9.75
 
1
51.90
4,235
Slipping Counties
 
5
7.69
 
14
7.06
70,523
Gaining Counties
 
15
3.25
 
4
14.45
1,624
Lagging Counties
 
9
5.05
 
17
5.17
6,163
 
8
5.39
 
11
8.07
34,284
 
7
5.52
 
10
8.30
17,059
 
13
3.63
 
9
9.13
52,394
 
14
3.32
 
13
7.51
41,497
 
10
4.94
 
12
7.71
13,698
 
16
2.89
 
15
6.81
13,993
 
12
4.60
 
16
6.06
2,117
 
11
4.74
 
18
3.67
28,820
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
5
12.62
4,578
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
3
21.51
12,597
 
U
U
 
19
3.06
1,951
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
5.74
 
9.38
395,256
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
5.81
 
8.06
11,473,500
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1500N_510800_LSGL
 
   
Copyright © 2023. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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